Showing posts with label birth predictions. Show all posts
Showing posts with label birth predictions. Show all posts

Thursday, May 8, 2014

When Will Baby Arrive???

Well, isn't that the question du jour!!!  We have a due date {Sunday, May 25th}, I'm going for weekly check-ups, we have a poll where friends and family can record their own hunches, but the funny thing about baby births is that despite all the miracles of modern medicine and all the "convictions" our loved ones have in their own minds, nobody REALLY knows when baby will be ready to make his or her debut!

For some reason it hit me this week -- Week 37 -- that I could go into labor at ANY minute.  YIKES!!!  I know I typically love surprises, but in this case it's terrifying not knowing WHEN or even WHERE baby or my body will decide "it's show time"!  Instead of wondering whether we'll need a boy name or a girl name to give baby, my mind is occupied with desperately trying to predict when we'll need a name at all and how I could potentially limit any humiliation by not being out in public at the wrong time!  If I feel a twinge, does that mean something's happening?  Should I not walk around too much "just in case"?  I've freaked myself so much that I've been sitting on a towel at home every day this week!

It's a well known fact that very few babies are born on their actual due date.  I think the last statistic I read said that only ~5% of babies enter the world exactly on their due date.  {Fun fact:  My hubby fits into this category!  Me?  I was late being born, and late every day since...}  I've also heard that it's most common for babies to be born anywhere from 2 weeks before to 2 weeks after their due date.  BUT THAT'S A FOUR WEEK SPAN!!!!  That's not a narrow enough window for me to mentally prepare!  I know in my head that there is no possible way for me to find this answer, but that doesn't stop me from looking for it!!!  :)

According to this Baby Center article:
The most popular day for babies to make their entrance is Tuesday, followed by Monday. Sunday is the slowest day, with 35.1 fewer births than average. Scheduled c-sections and induced labors have a big influence on the fact that far fewer babies are born on the weekend, but spontaneous (non-scheduled) deliveries occur less often on the weekend too.
Interestingly, I was born on a Tuesday, while Shep was born on a Wednesday!

I'm sure many of us have heard the old wives tale that there are more births during a full moon.  Though many scientific studies disprove that theory, it's worth pointing out the next full moon in NYC is May 14th!  Gulp... that's *less than a week away*, though technically during the relevant window of time!  {And for anyone curious, it's a Wednesday.}  I don't know though, that sounds much too soon!!!  I'd love a little more time if possible!

Then I stumbled upon http://whentoexpect.com/, which is a prediction calculator that compares some self-reported demographic info to public birth certificate data from the CDC's Division of Vital Statistics on live births in 2009 and 2010.  {Read more about the calculated estimates here.}  According to this calculator, I'm most likely to give birth during week 39.

Source: http://whentoexpect.com/

That seems a little less scary.  :)  One other tidbit from this prediction site:  Our best guess of your baby's birth weight: 7 pounds, 12 ounces.  Given my recently-developed wish for a "not too large" baby, I think I could live with that! ;)

Oh, and I can't leave out Madame Zaritska's prediction:
The day you deliver, outside will be cloudy. Your baby will arrive in the early morning. After a labor lasting approximately 10 hours, your child, a girl, will be born. Your baby will weigh about 5 pounds, 4 ounces, and will be 17-1/2 inches long. This child will have medium green eyes and fluffy blonde hair.
***

So there you have it folks! I could have this baby on a Tuesday, or a Monday, or on Wednesday May 14th, or anytime the week of May 18th - May 24th, or on a cloudy day...... or basically any other day from now to early June. How's that for a scientifically accurate prediction? ;)

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